US administration's arithmetic on trade deficit: When "2+2 = Tax the penguins"
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to today’s episode of "How to Start a Trade War Using Kindergarten Math"! The Trump administration has just announced its latest economic gem: a tariff formula so "reciprocal," it resembles charging your neighbor...

Let’s unpack this artisanal economic logic, freshly pulled from the chaos oven.
Step 1: Define "reciprocal" as "Whatever I feel like"
What’s the White House’s ingenious formula? Simply take the US trade deficit with a country, divide it by imports, and — voilà — you get their "hidden tariff rate"!
Now, tariff policy operates like a dating app for insecure nations. The US swipes right, sending over $100 billion in purchasing power, while Wakanda responds with a polite $10 billion purchase of bald eagle socks. The US reacts, “What the hell?! We’ve been ghosted! That’s a 90 percent disrespect rate!” And what’s the administration’s response? Cranking up tariffs in a fit of rage like it’s texting at 2 a.m.: "You never loved us anyway!!! BLOCKED."
It turns out trade deficits are more about economic structure, currency strength, and whether there’s a need for 40 metric tons of freedom-flavored chewing gum. But good luck explaining that to someone yelling "reciprocity" at a calculator.
Step 2: Ignore basic economics
Trump’s team employed two elasticities:
"Import demand elasticity": Because Americans stop buying Ferraris if the price rises by $0.50.
"Tariff pass-through": Because only 25 percent of tariffs hit consumers. The rest? Magic!
However, real economists contend φ is 0.945 — indicating that 94.5 percent of tariffs get passed to consumers. Oops! But why let facts derail a good narrative? As the famed comedian Jon Stewart quipped, "Why bother checking your math when you can just blame fake news?"
Step 3: Tax penguins and call it patriotism
Let’s not overlook the penguin-populated islands subjected to tariffs. Because nothing screams "America First" like punishing flightless birds for… existing? In an eye-catching display of protectionism, the administration imposed a 10 percent "America First" tariff on Heard and McDonald Islands wildlife — solely inhabited by penguins and seals — and hailed it as a bold defense of US industry.
Conclusion
Ultimately, it’s less about trade policy and more akin to performance art with spreadsheets. The message is clear: if it moves, tax it; if it doesn’t, blame it; if it waddles and eats fish, slap a tariff on it just in case. Welcome to the new economic order — where math is optional, logic is emotional, and somewhere, a penguin is left contemplating what it did wrong.
Frederick R Cook for TROIB News
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