Polls indicate Harris slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Trump maintains lead in Arizona
The figures in both key swing states indicate that the presidential race remains extremely competitive.
TroibNews 
Recent polling conducted by The New York Times and Siena College reveals a narrow advantage for Donald Trump in Arizona, while Kamala Harris holds a similar slight lead in Pennsylvania, highlighting the contrasting dynamics in the Rust and Sun Belt states as the presidential race tightens.
In Arizona, Trump leads with 51 percent compared to Harris's 46 percent, showing little change from a previous September poll where he was at 50 percent and Harris at 45 percent. Conversely, in Pennsylvania, which was also surveyed in collaboration with the Philadelphia Inquirer, Harris is ahead with 50 percent to Trump's 47 percent.
Both polls carry a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The surveys were conducted via telephone from October 7 to 10, reaching 808 voters in Arizona and 857 in Pennsylvania.
Favorability ratings for both candidates are low. In Pennsylvania, Harris received a favorability score of 49 percent, with the same percentage expressing unfavorability. Trump, meanwhile, is viewed more negatively than positively by voters.
In Arizona, the perception of the candidates flips, as voters are evenly split on Trump while Harris is slightly viewed unfavorably.
Despite Trump's lead in Arizona, Republican support appears to falter further down the ballot; 48 percent of respondents indicated they would back Democratic Senate candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego, against 41 percent for Republican Kari Lake. In the Senate race in Pennsylvania, Democratic Senator Bob Casey maintains a lead over Republican Dave McCormick that aligns with Harris’s advantage over Trump, showing 48 percent to 44 percent.
Economic concerns dominate voter priorities in both states, with respondents expressing greater confidence in Trump's economic leadership compared to Harris. However, in Pennsylvania, abortion also emerges as a significant issue, with Harris enjoying a nearly 20-point advantage over Trump in terms of voter trust on this topic.
Pennsylvania remains a key battleground in the election due to its substantial electoral vote count, and both campaigns are intensifying their focus on the state as the election approaches. Last month, another poll by The New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer, and Siena College showed Harris leading Trump by a similar margin of 50 percent to 46 percent.
Alejandro Jose Martinez for TROIB News
In Arizona, Trump leads with 51 percent compared to Harris's 46 percent, showing little change from a previous September poll where he was at 50 percent and Harris at 45 percent. Conversely, in Pennsylvania, which was also surveyed in collaboration with the Philadelphia Inquirer, Harris is ahead with 50 percent to Trump's 47 percent.
Both polls carry a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The surveys were conducted via telephone from October 7 to 10, reaching 808 voters in Arizona and 857 in Pennsylvania.
Favorability ratings for both candidates are low. In Pennsylvania, Harris received a favorability score of 49 percent, with the same percentage expressing unfavorability. Trump, meanwhile, is viewed more negatively than positively by voters.
In Arizona, the perception of the candidates flips, as voters are evenly split on Trump while Harris is slightly viewed unfavorably.
Despite Trump's lead in Arizona, Republican support appears to falter further down the ballot; 48 percent of respondents indicated they would back Democratic Senate candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego, against 41 percent for Republican Kari Lake. In the Senate race in Pennsylvania, Democratic Senator Bob Casey maintains a lead over Republican Dave McCormick that aligns with Harris’s advantage over Trump, showing 48 percent to 44 percent.
Economic concerns dominate voter priorities in both states, with respondents expressing greater confidence in Trump's economic leadership compared to Harris. However, in Pennsylvania, abortion also emerges as a significant issue, with Harris enjoying a nearly 20-point advantage over Trump in terms of voter trust on this topic.
Pennsylvania remains a key battleground in the election due to its substantial electoral vote count, and both campaigns are intensifying their focus on the state as the election approaches. Last month, another poll by The New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer, and Siena College showed Harris leading Trump by a similar margin of 50 percent to 46 percent.
Alejandro Jose Martinez for TROIB News
