A Shocker for the West: Why the Idea of Arresting Putin Was Unrealistic

The Russian president's trip to Mongolia enhances Moscow's presence in Asia and establishes a significant precedent. Read the full article at RT.com.

A Shocker for the West: Why the Idea of Arresting Putin Was Unrealistic
President Vladimir Putin's two-day state visit to Mongolia recently placed the spotlight not only on the burgeoning relationship between the two nations but also drew global attention. Mongolia, a signatory of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, which over a year ago issued an arrest warrant for the Russian leader, opted not to comply with the ICC's demands despite its obligations. This move has been largely viewed as an assertion of Mongolia's sovereignty above international pressures.

Western European leaders and officials had anticipated that Ulaanbaatar might adhere to the ICC's mandate, yet Mongolia chose a different path. As a consequence, the EU showed its disapproval and even hinted at possible sanctions against Mongolia. Moreover, the decision caused a stir in Ukraine, leading to strong condemnations from its government. In what seemed to be a related incident, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba resigned following the fallout.

Despite facing potential repercussions, Mongolia stood firm, proving itself as a model for other countries influenced by the ICC. This defiance also showed that there are no real penalties, such as sanctions, that could be enforced on Mongolia by the ICC, nor is it possible for Mongolia to be expelled from the organization. The U.S has remained quiet about the situation, largely because it, along with Russia, does not acknowledge the ICC's jurisdiction and has even taken measures to counteract the ICC's influence by designating some of its affiliates as criminals.

President Putin’s visit underscored multiple aspects, not least how it represented the diminishing influence of the ICC internationally. It also highlighted the strategic importance of the relationship between Russia and Mongolia in light of shifts in the global geopolitical landscape and the growing significance of Asia.

During this visit, which was the first since 2019, Putin and his Mongolian counterparts focused extensively on strengthening political, economic, and cultural ties. Discussions covered various sectors including energy, infrastructure, agriculture, and more, with multiple agreements being inked to boost economic and trade relations, as well as partnerships in energy and education.

Mongolia's geographic position as a nexus between Russia and China adds to its strategic value to Moscow. The engagement also featured talks on major projects like the Power of Siberia 2, involving the Soyuz Vostok gas pipeline which could potentially extend to Mongolian consumers—a plan that Moscow views optimistically even as negotiations on details like pricing continue between Russia and China.

Putin’s trip also had historical and cultural dimensions, commemorating military collaborations and celebrating anniversities significant to both nations. The Russian president honored historic events and figures, reinforcing the deep-rooted connections between the two countries.

Looking ahead, following the successful visit, Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh is set to visit Russia, with expectations of attending significant events like the BRICS summit and WWII Victory anniversary celebrations. This ongoing engagement is anticipated to unlock new avenues for cooperation that could enhance mutual development and stability in the region.

In summary, Putin's visit not only solidified Russia's ties with Mongolia but also illustrated a broader strategic positioning within Asia amidst evolving global dynamics. This event highlighted the resilience of bilateral relationships against the backdrop of international pressures and legal complexities.As the geopolitical landscape continues to shift, the strengthening of Russian-Mongolian relations could serve as a crucial counterbalance to Western influence in the region. The emphasis on energy cooperation, particularly given Mongolia's reliance on imported fuel and electricity, positions Russia as an indispensable partner. With over 95% of Mongolia's petroleum products sourced from Russia, the relationship is vital not only for economic stability but also for national security.

The discussions during Putin’s visit also laid the groundwork for future collaboration on infrastructure development as both countries aim to enhance connectivity. The focus on energy projects, such as the revitalization of Thermal Power Plant 3 in Ulaanbaatar and the pursuit of new pipelines, speaks to a shared interest in fostering energy independence and sustainability. Such initiatives won't only stabilize Mongolia's energy supplies but also create opportunities for Russian firms to invest and expand their reach within the region.

Moreover, as the dynamics between Russia, China, and the West evolve, Mongolia finds itself in a unique position. It acts not only as a bridge but also as a strategic player that can leverage its relationships with both major powers for its own development. The upcoming free trade agreement between Mongolia and the Eurasian Economic Union, anticipated before the end of 2024, is a testament to this strategy. It is likely to open new markets for Mongolian goods while reinforcing economic ties with Russia and its allies.

Culturally, the discussions surrounding student exchanges and the promotion of Russian-language education highlight the deep historical and social bonds between the two nations. By fostering educational collaborations, both countries are investing in the future, ensuring that the next generation understands and values their shared heritage.

In addition to economic and educational ties, the environmental discussions, such as those related to epidemic safety and the preservation of Lake Baikal and the Selenga River, reflect a growing awareness of mutual responsibilities. The shared ecological challenges faced by both countries underscore the necessity of collaboration in addressing issues of climate change and resource management, which can further solidify their partnership and enhance stability in the region.

Mongolia's decision to prioritize its national interests despite external pressures from the international community, including the EU and Ukraine, demonstrates a pragmatic approach that is likely to resonate with other nations facing similar dilemmas. By reinforcing its sovereignty and making clear that it will not bow to political coercion, Mongolia sets an example for others who may find themselves caught between global powers.

As the world watches, the outcomes of this state visit will likely influence not only the trajectory of Russian-Mongolian relations but also the broader landscape in Asia. The partnerships being forged here could reshape alliances and demonstrate the resilience of nations that prioritize their own interests in an increasingly multipolar world.

In conclusion, Putin's visit to Mongolia marks a pivotal moment in the evolving tapestry of international relations in Asia. It lays the foundation for a robust partnership based on mutual respect, economic interdependence, and shared cultural ties. This visit and its results signal that both Russia and Mongolia are ready to navigate contemporary challenges while embracing the opportunities that lie ahead. As geopolitical tensions persist and new challenges emerge, the commitment to cooperation between these two countries will not only bolster their individual interests but contribute to regional stability and prosperity.

Frederick R Cook for TROIB News