Polls show Harris with narrow advantage over Trump in two key states following debate
Recent polling reveals slim advantages for Kamala Harris in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, while the competition between her and Donald Trump remains closely contested in Wisconsin.
TroibNews 
Vice President Kamala Harris is narrowly ahead of former President Donald Trump in two key battleground states and is nearly tied in a third, based on polls conducted since last week's debate and released on Wednesday.
New Quinnipiac University polls indicate that in a hypothetical two-way matchup, Harris holds a 5-point advantage over Trump in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, with support at 51 percent to 46 percent. In Wisconsin, she leads by just 1 point, a result that falls within the state’s 3-point margin of error.
An additional poll released by AARP on the same day confirmed that the candidates are “neck and neck” in Wisconsin. In this head-to-head scenario, Harris has a slim lead of 1 percentage point over Trump, with 49 percent support to Trump's 48 percent.
The AARP poll also revealed a noteworthy trend among Wisconsin voters aged 50 and older, who favor Trump over Harris by 3 points. Among those aged 50 to 64, Trump's advantage increases to 12 points, whereas Harris has a 6-point lead among seniors aged 65 and older.
The polls published on Wednesday are among the first significant polling data available following the debate in Philadelphia last week, where over 67 million viewers tuned in. An immediate CNN/SSRS survey after the debate showed that most respondents believed Harris emerged as the victor.
“Almost all Wisconsin voters followed the debate either through watching it or the news, with 3-in-4 saying they watched,” according to the AARP poll. Among likely voters surveyed, 55 percent identified Harris as the winner, while 23 percent chose Trump.
These new polls suggest that Harris maintains a slight edge over Trump in some of the Blue Wall states. A previous New York Times/Siena College poll indicated that Harris received 50 percent support compared to Trump's 46 percent across these states.
On specific issues, the Quinnipiac poll reveals that Trump is leading Harris in all three states concerning the economy and immigration, while Harris holds the lead on preserving democracy and abortion issues in each state.
Democratic candidates running for Senate in these three states also show stronger positions against their Republican opponents in the Quinnipiac poll. Sen. Bob Casey leads his Republican challenger Dave McCormick by 9 points in Pennsylvania, Sen. Tammy Baldwin is ahead of Republican Eric Hovde by 4 points in Wisconsin, and Rep. Elissa Slotkin holds a 5-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers in Michigan.
The AARP poll, conducted by Fabrizio Ward, a Republican firm, and Impact Research, a Democratic firm, surveyed 1,052 likely voters from Sept. 11-14, comprising a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters and an oversample of 452 likely voters aged 50 and older. The margin of error for the statewide sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, and 3.5 percentage points for older voters.
The Quinnipiac poll, conducted from Sept. 12-16, included 1,331 likely voters in Pennsylvania, 905 in Michigan, and 1,075 in Wisconsin, with margins of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 3.3 percentage points in Michigan, and plus or minus 3 percentage points in Wisconsin.
Alejandro Jose Martinez contributed to this report for TROIB News
New Quinnipiac University polls indicate that in a hypothetical two-way matchup, Harris holds a 5-point advantage over Trump in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, with support at 51 percent to 46 percent. In Wisconsin, she leads by just 1 point, a result that falls within the state’s 3-point margin of error.
An additional poll released by AARP on the same day confirmed that the candidates are “neck and neck” in Wisconsin. In this head-to-head scenario, Harris has a slim lead of 1 percentage point over Trump, with 49 percent support to Trump's 48 percent.
The AARP poll also revealed a noteworthy trend among Wisconsin voters aged 50 and older, who favor Trump over Harris by 3 points. Among those aged 50 to 64, Trump's advantage increases to 12 points, whereas Harris has a 6-point lead among seniors aged 65 and older.
The polls published on Wednesday are among the first significant polling data available following the debate in Philadelphia last week, where over 67 million viewers tuned in. An immediate CNN/SSRS survey after the debate showed that most respondents believed Harris emerged as the victor.
“Almost all Wisconsin voters followed the debate either through watching it or the news, with 3-in-4 saying they watched,” according to the AARP poll. Among likely voters surveyed, 55 percent identified Harris as the winner, while 23 percent chose Trump.
These new polls suggest that Harris maintains a slight edge over Trump in some of the Blue Wall states. A previous New York Times/Siena College poll indicated that Harris received 50 percent support compared to Trump's 46 percent across these states.
On specific issues, the Quinnipiac poll reveals that Trump is leading Harris in all three states concerning the economy and immigration, while Harris holds the lead on preserving democracy and abortion issues in each state.
Democratic candidates running for Senate in these three states also show stronger positions against their Republican opponents in the Quinnipiac poll. Sen. Bob Casey leads his Republican challenger Dave McCormick by 9 points in Pennsylvania, Sen. Tammy Baldwin is ahead of Republican Eric Hovde by 4 points in Wisconsin, and Rep. Elissa Slotkin holds a 5-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers in Michigan.
The AARP poll, conducted by Fabrizio Ward, a Republican firm, and Impact Research, a Democratic firm, surveyed 1,052 likely voters from Sept. 11-14, comprising a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters and an oversample of 452 likely voters aged 50 and older. The margin of error for the statewide sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, and 3.5 percentage points for older voters.
The Quinnipiac poll, conducted from Sept. 12-16, included 1,331 likely voters in Pennsylvania, 905 in Michigan, and 1,075 in Wisconsin, with margins of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 3.3 percentage points in Michigan, and plus or minus 3 percentage points in Wisconsin.
Alejandro Jose Martinez contributed to this report for TROIB News
