Trump's Butler Rally Signifies a Dramatically Altered Race

A Republican commented, “There’s a message here, right? To come back to the scene," highlighting an important point.

Trump's Butler Rally Signifies a Dramatically Altered Race
Donald Trump is returning to Butler, Pennsylvania, on Saturday under significantly altered political conditions compared to three months ago, when an assassination attempt positioned him as a near-martyr with a strong debate performance against Joe Biden and solid national poll numbers leading into his nominating convention in Milwaukee.

The landscape has shifted with Vice President Kamala Harris entering the race, disrupting Trump’s campaign and diminishing Republican confidence that he could leverage the support and goodwill garnered from the aftermath of the attack back into the Oval Office. Struggling throughout the summer to adapt to his new rival, Trump now finds himself in a competitive race against Harris, with polling averages indicating a virtual tie in Pennsylvania and other battleground states, where Harris maintains a slight edge in national surveys.

For Trump's supporters, this visit to a Republican stronghold in Pennsylvania presents a pivotal opportunity to galvanize the base with Election Day just a month away. However, the rally also serves as a poignant reminder of the trauma caused by the July shooting, which left both Trump and his supporters profoundly shaken.

“There’s a message here, right? To come back to the scene: How many folks would do that? How many folks would be afraid — just from a psychological perspective, being intimidated to come back to the place where you almost lost your life,” remarked Sam DeMarco, chair of the Allegheny County GOP.

He added, “And it’s something that will put the wind in the sails of his supporters and many of the folks who are working on the campaign as they enter the last couple of weeks of this election and get them to go out and make additional voter contacts.”

The rally is expected to be a deeply personal moment for Trump and his supporters, who have been revisiting the impact of the shooting on the Butler community. Corey Comperatore, a volunteer firefighter who lost his life while protecting his family, and two others who were injured, underline the tragedy that has now placed Butler in the global spotlight.

"The idea that something like this would happen to the president in our home is difficult to grasp. … It definitely affected everyone in a negative way, and it didn’t put a great lens on Butler County,” noted Jondavid Longo, mayor of Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, who was present at the rally during the shooting and will speak at Saturday's event.

"This is what I can only describe as a triumphant return for [Trump]," Longo expressed, adding that it also “part of our healing process.”

During the rally, Trump is anticipated to honor Comperatore and pay tribute to the injured individuals and first responders, while also revisiting themes of unity that he had briefly set aside after the incident.

The assassination attempt marked the first time a sitting president or candidate had been harmed since Ronald Reagan's near-assassination in 1981, leading to heightened scrutiny regarding Trump's security measures. This scrutiny intensified following a recent incident where a man was arrested at Trump’s golf course, accused of attempting to assassinate him.

Security at the rally will be stringent, featuring an enhanced Secret Service presence, a command center with federal and local law enforcement, and additional sharpshooters. The venue will also be secured in light of events from July, during which Trump's assailant, Thomas Matthew Crooks, was able to open fire.

Rep. Dan Meuser, who attended the July rally and will be present on Saturday, indicated that while the resources for protecting Trump continue to be a concern, improvements have been made, highlighted by recent bipartisan support for increased Secret Service funding.

In addition to ongoing FBI investigations, a bipartisan House task force has been established to probe the security failures surrounding the shooting and assess measures taken since then.

Rep. Mike Kelly of Pennsylvania reported during a recent hearing, “There were security failures on multiple fronts” ahead of the Butler rally. Concerns have been raised regarding the lack of effective communication between the Secret Service and local law enforcement. An internal investigation has pointed to communication breakdowns, technological issues, and a sense of complacency among Secret Service staff as contributing factors.

At the rally, Trump's running mate, Sen. JD Vance, is expected to join him, and Elon Musk, who endorsed Trump following the initial assassination attempt, has also indicated he plans to attend. According to the campaign’s guest list, many prominent local figures, including first responders and officials who were present at the chaos of the July rally, will address attendees.

“The trauma of that day is something you can never walk away from — it’s not something we experience, especially not in my backyard,” remarked Butler County Commissioner Leslie Osche. “But that said, we cannot be torn apart or frightened by those who would attempt to do so … resilience will be a focus.”

Meanwhile, Zach Scherer, a Trump supporter from nearby Chicora, recounted the harrowing experience of the gunfire during the July event, noting, “I grabbed my dad and just got under my chair and started praying that we weren’t going to get shot.” Despite his family's apprehensions, Scherer remains committed to supporting Trump, stating, “You can’t live in fear every day because shootings happen everywhere,” and reaffirming, “He’s a fighter,” adding, “He’s not going to back down.”

Rohan Mehta for TROIB News