Our new poll reveals that Trump voters have changed their opinions now that he's won
A duo of POLITICO|Morning Consult polls reveals the shift in public opinion, with one survey carried out just before the election and another following Trump's victory.
Leading up to Election Day, nearly 90% of Trump voters considered voter fraud to be a significant issue; however, this perception changed dramatically after his victory, with just over one-third expressing the same concern afterward.
Trump's win over Vice President Kamala Harris has also altered public opinion on various other topics. For instance, his supporters displayed a more positive view of the economy following the election, in contrast to the more negative outlook of Harris supporters.
These insights emerge from a recent PMG|Morning Consult poll aimed at gauging shifts in public sentiment before and after the election. The findings align with recent consumer sentiment trends and statements from Republican leaders.
Our poll revealed substantial changes in voters’ perceptions of crucial issues like election security and economic conditions post-election, with stark contrasts based on party affiliation. Additionally, opinions about a potential second Trump term showed mixed expectations.
The initial poll was conducted from October 30 to November 1, leading up to the election, while the follow-up was carried out from November 20 to 22, two weeks after Trump's win. Both polls included more than 4,000 registered voters, carrying a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
Here are some key takeaways from the results.
**Trump supporters worried less about voter fraud after he won.** In polling conducted just before the election, Trump supporters exhibited significant distrust in the election outcome, with 87% substantially or somewhat agreeing that voter fraud was a “serious issue” that could affect the election result. Conversely, about half of Harris supporters shared similar concerns.
Following Election Day, this partisan divide disappeared.
Post-election, both Trump and Harris supporters were less inclined to believe that voter fraud influenced the election outcome. The drop in concern was particularly noticeable among Trump voters, with only 36% agreeing that fraud was a serious issue after his victory.
Additionally, confidence in the 2024 election results did not meaningfully alter voters’ beliefs and preferences regarding mail voting or voter identification laws. While Republicans encouraged their voters to embrace mail voting in the fall — despite mixed signals from Trump himself — Harris supporters continued to favor expansive mail voting.
Before and after the election, just under half of Trump supporters believed that all voters should be allowed to vote by mail regardless of their ability to make it to polling places on Election Day. The figure was around 85% among Harris supporters.
Meanwhile, Trump and other Republicans raised concerns about the absence of voter identification laws in some states, but the smooth running of the 2024 election without serious evidence of fraud did not shift perceptions. Nearly 80% of Trump supporters and half of Harris supporters maintained that all voters should be required to present identification to vote.
**Voters’ perceptions of the economy are starting to flip along partisan lines.** The economy was the most significant concern for many voters prior to Election Day, with 81% identifying it as “very important” in their voting decisions. Trump voters slightly prioritized the economy more than Harris voters, but the issue resonated across party lines.
However, perceptions regarding the state of the economy before and after Trump's win differed sharply between Trump and Harris supporters.
A week prior to the election, only 8% of Trump supporters rated the economy as being on the “right track.” Following Trump's victory, that proportion rose to 28% — still a minority but demonstrating a notable shift within weeks, despite no significant changes in economic conditions.
In contrast, Harris supporters expressed a decline in their assessment of the economy's trajectory post-election, with only 46% considering it to be on the right track, down from 59% the week before.
**Voters also divided along partisan lines about what Trump should do — but they agree about what they think he will do.** Voters clearly distinguished their views on Trump's administration: 64% who supported him felt “very optimistic,” whereas 65% of Harris supporters felt “very pessimistic.”
On specific issues, however, voters’ perceptions of Trump's potential actions reveal more complexity. For instance, regarding the possible pardons for defendants involved in the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack — a long-time campaign promise by Trump — opinions diverged sharply along partisan lines.
A majority of voters opposed the notion, though opinions were divided among Trump supporters: 53% favored pardons while 30% opposed them. In contrast, 74% of Harris voters strongly opposed the idea.
When asked about the likelihood of Trump issuing such pardons, the partisan gaps shrank: 60% of Trump voters believed it was very or somewhat likely he would grant clemency, while 81% of Harris voters concurred.
The discourse surrounding the treatment of January 6 defendants illustrated broader divides concerning the nation’s future. Two-thirds of Harris voters expressed some level of pessimism about the current state of democracy in the U.S. after the election, while three-quarters of Trump voters felt optimistic.
Across a range of policy areas, Trump supporters exhibited far greater optimism than their Harris counterparts, particularly in national security and public health issues.
The disparity was less pronounced regarding how Trump’s impending presidency might affect their individual financial situations; 70% of Trump voters were optimistic, compared to 42% of Harris supporters.
Thomas Evans contributed to this report for TROIB News