Wagering Predictions Show Trump with Biggest Advantage Against Harris
Donald Trump has gained his biggest advantage over Kamala Harris in the betting odds since their debate on September 10. Read Full Article at RT.com
Donald Trump has established his largest lead over Kamala Harris in the betting odds for the White House, just three weeks ahead of the November election.
Both US and international betting markets moved in favor of a Trump victory over the weekend, with prediction websites such as BetOnline, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi all suggesting that Trump’s chances of winning the presidency are stronger than those of the Democratic nominee and current vice president.
This marks the first time Trump has taken the lead in the betting markets since the September 10 presidential debate, which had benefited Harris with a rise in ratings. Nevertheless, the Democratic candidate’s polling has stagnated since that time, while Trump's numbers have been increasing.
Trump has gained a particularly notable advantage on BetOnline, where his odds were at -140 compared to Harris' +120 as of Monday. At Bet365, the vice president's odds were +110 to Trump's -138, while at Bovada, they were +115 against -135, as of October 10.
A negative sign indicates that bookmakers see the odds favoring that individual to win, whereas a plus sign reflects the underdog.
A variety of other betting platforms also revealed a shift in Trump's favor, allowing the Republican candidate to narrow the gap with his rival. According to Kalshi, Trump had a 54% chance of winning the presidential election, while Harris was at 46% as of Monday.
The Election Betting Odds tracker indicated that Harris’ probability of winning has decreased since the beginning of the month. A week ago, she held a 50.1% chance of securing the White House, but that figure fell to 44.3% by Tuesday, while Trump now has a 55.1% chance of victory on November 5.
In addition, Polymarket suggests that the former president holds an advantage in six out of seven critical swing states. Data from oddsmakers indicates that the Republican candidate is predicted to win Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin.
The only battleground state where Harris has maintained a slight edge is Nevada, where she had a 51% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds stood at 49%.
Lucas Dupont contributed to this report for TROIB News