Chuck Schumer Faces a Significant Shutdown Dilemma: Can He Guide Democrats to Resolution?
Amidst mounting pressure from the left for steadfastness, several Democratic senators appear to be seeking an alternative path.
Publicly, the Senate minority leader and many of his colleagues are insisting that they will not support a House GOP funding bill, while simultaneously calling for a vote on an alternative plan. Privately, it seems Senate Democrats are inching towards a compromise: they're considering supporting a vote for a 30-day stopgap bill they prefer, in exchange for ensuring that the House bill, which funds the government through September, passes the 60-vote filibuster threshold — even if they ultimately vote against it.
This evolving strategy follows a series of spirited meetings convened by Schumer with his caucus, some of which have become so animated that discussions were audible outside their meeting room.
This is a pivotal moment for Schumer, as he aims to reconcile divisions within his caucus regarding how firmly to resist, especially given concerns from some members that a shutdown could bolster President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. External groups and even fellow Democrats are pressuring them to reject the House GOP funding bill, even if it leads to a government closure.
The outcome for the Democrats will indicate how they plan to address their challenging position, with Republicans in control of both legislative chambers and the presidency. The party faces tremendous pressure from their left flank to leverage whatever limited influence they possess to slow Trump's initial moves. However, they are also cautious of a shutdown that could be politically damaging for them.
The Democrats will confront their first pivotal moment on Friday, as Republicans prepare to hold the first vote on advancing the House GOP bill. They must either uphold their assertion that the House bill won't gather the necessary 60 votes or reach a consensus that Senate leaders can support.
Publicly and privately on Wednesday, Schumer aimed to unify his caucus with a call for a short-term spending solution while criticizing the House GOP bill. After conveying his message during a Democratic caucus lunch, Schumer took to the Senate floor to declare that Republicans lack the necessary votes to advance the House bill.
“Our caucus is unified on a clean April 11 CR that will keep the government open and give Congress time to negotiate bipartisan legislation that can pass. We should vote on that. I hope … our Republican colleagues will join us to avoid a shutdown on Friday,” Schumer stated from the Senate floor following his caucus meeting.
However, behind closed doors, after absorbing feedback from various members, Schumer seems poised to guide his caucus away from a standoff over a shutdown. Instead, he's pushing for a plan that would enable a united vote and potentially attract support from Republicans dissatisfied with a lengthy seven-month stopgap. This illustrates that while Democrats are experiencing their first significant legislative leverage opportunity in the Trump era, not all are prepared to accept the political ramifications of aggressive tactics.
“[Our] strategy kind of emerged after he heard everybody out yesterday,” said Sen. Tim Kaine, adding that Schumer initiated the closed-door meeting by stating, “‘I listened to y’all yesterday’” and expressing optimism that the proposed strategy could unify the group.
Kaine remarked that it was a “productive discussion” and highlighted Schumer's effectiveness in allowing members to express their views without imposing his agenda too forcefully.
Nothing has been finalized yet. Schumer notably refrained from stating publicly that if Republicans allow a vote on the 30-day stopgap, Democrats would support the House bill's passage. Senate Majority Leader John Thune mentioned that he did not believe Senate Democrats had made any formal proposal, although he expressed openness to negotiations.
Kaine clarified the strategy emerging after the Senate Democratic lunch. Sen. Richard Blumenthal further explained that he understood the vote on the short-term funding extension would be treated as an amendment to the underlying bill, noting, “I think we would have 60 votes” to advance the House GOP bill if Republicans agreed to permit the amendment vote.
This strategic maneuvering is taking place amid clear concerns about the repercussions of a government shutdown.
“If you shut down the government,” Sen. John Hickenlooper warned reporters, “[Trump] will decide, without any safeguards, what gets reopened, what doesn't. Who knows how long he'll want to keep the government shut down so that he has total control. … The president gets immensely more authority.”
Sen. Mark Kelly echoed this sentiment: “Especially in this environment when we have an unelected billionaire that's already shutting down parts of the government, the president could certainly give him the authority … where Elon Musk gets to decide what gets opened back up.”
However, Hickenlooper, Kelly, and several colleagues who have raised alarms about unintentionally empowering Musk or Trump are encountering increasing pressure from progressives, including House Democrats, who overwhelmingly opposed the House Republican bill. Democratic leadership hopes this unified opposition will provide cover for senators to also reject the legislation.
Rep. Ted Lieu, vice chair of the House Democratic caucus, cautioned that whoever votes to fund the government will be held accountable for any adverse consequences stemming from Trump and Musk, urging Senate Democrats to vote “no.”
“We're standing on the side of working families,” Democratic Whip Katherine Clark stated. “That's why our message to the Senate is also stand with us on that side.”
Jessica Kline contributed to this report for TROIB News