Media reports: Bookmakers assign 20% probability to a third Trump term
The US Constitution currently states that a president can only serve two terms. Betters view US President Donald Trump as a strong contender for the 2028 election, despite this constitutional limitation, according to a recent report from Newsweek...

Betters view US President Donald Trump as a strong contender for the 2028 election, despite this constitutional limitation, according to a recent report from Newsweek that references current betting data.
In an article published on Saturday, British gambling company William Hill has placed Trump as the second favorite to win the upcoming presidential race with odds of 5/1, equating to a 16.7% chance of him obtaining a third term in office.
The leading candidate is Vice President J.D. Vance, who boasts 5/2 odds. Following him is Trump's eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., with odds of 9/1. Democratic Governors Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania and Gavin Newsom of California also rank in the top five, with 9/1 and 10/1 odds, respectively.
Trump secured the 2024 election by a significant margin against Democratic candidate and then-Vice President Kamala Harris, making him the only second president in US history to serve two non-consecutive terms.
The 22nd Amendment to the US Constitution states that “no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice.” This amendment was enacted following Franklin D. Roosevelt’s unprecedented four-term presidency.
Trump has often joked about the possibility of serving more than two terms. Recently, former White House strategist Steve Bannon indicated that Trump would likely run again in 2028. In an interview with journalist Chris Cuomo, Bannon mentioned that his team was exploring ways for Trump to navigate the constitutional restrictions.
A William Hill spokesperson informed Newsweek that while repealing the 22nd Amendment would be a challenging endeavor, Trump might pursue it given his backing in Congress.
“Trump ally Steve Bannon predicted this week that the POTUS would run for a third term and win, so there’s certainly a feeling that it could be possible, and we’re not taking any chances as we’ve installed him in our next president market at 5/1, behind only favorite J.D. Vance,” the spokesperson remarked.
For an amendment to be approved, it must receive a two-thirds majority in both the House and Senate and then be ratified by three-fourths of the US states.
Camille Lefevre for TROIB News