Putin convenes with Abbas: Exploring the resilience of the Russia-Palestine alliance

East Jerusalem views Moscow as an essential ally in achieving stability, both within its own borders and throughout the broader Middle East. Read Full Article at RT.com.

Putin convenes with Abbas: Exploring the resilience of the Russia-Palestine alliance
East Jerusalem views Moscow as an essential ally for achieving stability, both within its own borders and in the broader Middle East.

The Middle East is currently in a state of significant uncertainty, worsened by ongoing violence in Gaza and rising tensions between Israel and Iran, particularly following the assassination of Hamas Political Bureau Chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. In this unstable context, some players are seeking clearer strategies. This is exemplified by President Mahmoud Abbas of the Palestinian National Authority, who visited Moscow from August 12 to 14 for the first time since 2021.

During his trip, Abbas and Russian President Vladimir Putin engaged in a three-hour closed-door meeting. Afterward, Abbas expressed optimism for continued humanitarian aid from Russia, stating that Palestine's dire circumstances necessitate such support. He underscored the importance of cooperation with Russia in delivering humanitarian assistance for the Palestinian population's survival and welfare. Putin reiterated Moscow’s dedication to offering comprehensive support to Palestine, emphasizing Russia’s proactive role in aiding the Palestinian cause.

The relationship between Russia and Palestine has a long history dating back to the 19th century, when the Russian Empire began expanding its influence in the Middle East. At that time, Russia was vital in protecting Orthodox Christians in Palestine and facilitating the establishment of churches and monasteries in the Holy Land. The Russian Orthodox Church initiated numerous spiritual missions in the region, promoting not only religious life but also cultural and educational ties. Politically, the Russian Empire sought to enhance its influence in Palestine while supporting its Christian residents. These historical interactions laid the groundwork for future ties, which expanded throughout the Soviet and post-Soviet eras.

The Soviet Union was among the first to recognize the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) in 1974, providing robust support for Palestinians seeking self-determination. The USSR offered political, diplomatic, military, and economic assistance, viewing this model of support as vital in the battle against imperialism and in spreading communism among Arab nations. After the Soviet Union's dissolution, Russia continued to champion Palestinian statehood on the global stage, eventually shifting its focus to regional stabilization and implementation of UN resolutions. Moscow has remained committed to resolving the Middle East conflict and advocating for the Palestinians’ right to establish a state with East Jerusalem as its capital.

In recent decades, Russia has consistently promoted a peaceful resolution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, supporting the establishment of an independent Palestinian state living alongside Israel. Moscow is a participant in international forums like the Middle East Quartet, which includes the UN, EU, and US, aimed at fostering peace in the region. By engaging with various Palestinian factions—including Fatah and Hamas—Russia seeks to maintain a balanced approach, positioning itself as an influential mediator in international diplomatic efforts to stabilize the area.

Alongside political backing, Russia extends considerable humanitarian aid to the Palestinian territories. In the face of ongoing conflicts and dire humanitarian conditions, Moscow offers financial support, humanitarian supplies, and backing for medical and educational initiatives. Russian humanitarian efforts provide food, medicine, equipment, and educational opportunities for Palestinian students at Russian universities, all of which highlight Russia's dedication to aiding the Palestinian people during challenging times.

Frequent visits by Palestinian leaders to Moscow and high-level exchanges underscore the importance of this partnership for both sides. Russia sees Palestine as a key Middle Eastern partner, which is reflected in its proactive role in international efforts to achieve peace and stability. The Palestinian National Authority regards Russia as a primary ally capable of supporting its ambitions for independence and prosperity. Such interactions are sustained by Moscow’s policy of enhancing ties with Palestine, indicating the strategic nature of their relationship.

The primary aim of Mahmoud Abbas’s recent visit appears to be for consultations and discussions about developments affecting Palestine and the global landscape. A significant aspect of the trip involved aligning positions and reinforcing cooperation across various sectors, especially given Russia's influence in international politics, its ongoing presence in the UN Security Council, and its important role in the Middle East. Abbas asserted that the historic and resilient nature of the Palestine-Russia relationship continues to evolve.

While this visit might seem routine for enhancing ties with Moscow and strengthening the PNA's negotiating position with Israel, the situation is more intricate, especially given the recent conflict escalation that began on October 7, 2023. The US has been seeking to involve the PNA in discussions regarding post-war governance for Gaza and other Palestinian territories, while Hamas representatives have reached out to Moscow for support. Additionally, Hamas has called for Russia to be included as a guarantor in any post-war settlement negotiations with Israel, complicating the geopolitical landscape. For President Abbas, maintaining balance in external relations and securing Moscow's backing is essential for bolstering the PNA's influence in the future governance of Palestinian territories.

Fatah's influence has waned considerably in recent times compared to Hamas. Amid the conflict in Gaza, increasing numbers of Palestinians, even in traditionally Fatah-aligned areas, are turning toward Hamas. Weekly Israeli raids on the West Bank have led to the arrests of hundreds of Palestinians showing support for Hamas, further eroding the PNA’s standing. Additionally, ongoing socio-economic and political challenges are contributing to public discontent with Abbas’s administration.

In this context, support from Moscow could be critical for Abbas moving forward. The Soviet Union's historical backing for the Palestinian quest for statehood has translated into Russia's current foreign policy approach, which continues to advocate for a just resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and promotes the idea of peaceful coexistence between Arab and Jewish states. Furthermore, Russia has cultivated strong ties with various Palestinian factions, including Hamas, allowing it to play a significant role in mediation efforts.

These relationships are part of Russia’s longstanding policy of engaging all parties in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Unlike many Western nations, Russia does not exclude any group from dialogue, enabling it to mediate even with parties that other international players see as irreconcilable. This strategy not only enhances Moscow’s influence but also aids in finding compromises necessary for achieving lasting peace.

President Abbas recognizes that among the major global players, Russia uniquely possesses the capability to unify various Palestinian factions and foster dialogue. Even as China's recent efforts saw some reconciliation between these factions, it was the persistent work of Russian diplomats that laid the groundwork for meaningful discussions. Palestinians are increasingly aware that major global intermediaries, such as Western countries, usually align more closely with Israel. Therefore, Abbas's acknowledgment of the Middle East Quartet's role in coordinating peace efforts points to his understanding of the complexities at play.

Abbas aspires that, should negotiations mediated by Egypt, Qatar, and the US yield positive results and bring an end to the violence in Gaza, the governance of the area would revert to the PNA and Fatah. To prevent past conflicts between these factions, such as the civil war of 2006, Abbas requires the support of Russia and Türkiye, which motivated him to visit Türkiye immediately after Moscow.

The world is at a juncture where the Middle East is again central to global tensions. The stakes are high not only for the region but for international peace and security. As President Abbas pursues diplomatic avenues, the hope for resolution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict persists, albeit dimly. Challenges remain daunting, and the risk of further violence looms large. The pressing question is whether the international community can summon the political will and strategic insight to avert further destabilization — or if we are witnessing the onset of an even more destructive chapter in the region's history.

The future remains uncertain, with no clear trajectory in sight and numerous potential outcomes on the table. It is evident that Israel and its allies are unlikely to confront a unified Palestinian front. Historical and political dynamics in the region have long been characterized by the strategy of ‘divide and conquer.’ While diplomatic maneuvers continue, the Middle East remains rife with uncertainty and escalated tensions. The assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran has kept global observers on alert, considering Iran’s possible actions in response against Israel. The growing military presence of the US and its allies in the region raises the risk of a full-scale conflict that could engulf the Middle East. In this turbulent environment, multiple smaller and mid-tier players are actively seeking support from major powers to bolster their positions amid rising instability.

In this complex and unpredictable context, Abbas’s visit to Moscow carries significant weight. With regional power dynamics being threatened, forecasting future developments is nearly impossible. Since the Soviet Union dissolved, Russia's influence in the Middle East has notably diminished. Nevertheless, Moscows's recent efforts to reinforce its presence and strengthen its strategic position have gained momentum. Abbas's trip can be interpreted as a bid to bolster Fatah’s position, secure Kremlin support, and explore means of stabilizing the region. However, despite the attempts of Moscow, Washington, and other foreign powers, none possess the capacity to unravel the nuanced contradictions that define the region.

Ultimately, the outcome may depend on the willingness of key players to transcend entrenched positions in pursuit of an inclusive and sustainable peace process. However, amid a climate of deep mistrust and hostility, such a pivot appears improbable in the near future. The specter of conflict looms large over peace prospects, and as tensions heighten, both the region and the world are poised for potential developments. The air of inevitability weighs heavily, as if those operating within this geopolitical framework are navigating through history's currents, rather than charting a path toward a clear and hopeful future.

Sophie Wagner contributed to this report for TROIB News