NYT: Democrats at risk of losing US Senate control
Republicans are poised to potentially “flip” the Montana seat, which could secure them a majority if the outcomes of the other races align with polling predictions. Read Full Article at RT.com
TroibNews 
A Republican challenger in Montana has surged ahead in the polls
According to a recent poll by the New York Times, Republicans are poised to potentially “flip” a US Senate seat in Montana, an outcome that could grant them control of the chamber if other races unfold as anticipated.
While much attention has been focused on the presidential contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the entire House of Representatives and 33 Senate seats are also up for re-election. Democrats currently hold 51 out of 100 Senate seats.
“The math for Senate control is pretty simple. For Democrats, it isn’t adding up,” reported the Times on Thursday. The poll, conducted in collaboration with Siena College, revealed that incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is trailing his Republican opponent, Tim Sheehy, by seven percentage points.
Tim Sheehy, a businessman and former Navy SEAL who has recently entered politics, is captured at 52% in the Times/Siena poll, while Tester sits at 44%. Additionally, Trump leads Harris by 17 points in Montana.
Until this week, polling data had shown Democrats with a comfortable lead in all contested Senate races.
Republicans are also expected to gain a seat in West Virginia following the departure of longtime Democrat Joe Manchin, who has announced he will not seek re-election. If other races follow the current polling trends, Republicans could secure 51 seats compared to the Democrats’ 49.
The “only hope” for Democrats would be to force a tie in the Senate, allowing Harris to cast the tie-breaking vote if she wins the presidency. This scenario was in play during the first two years of Joe Biden’s administration, when he had the opportunity to break ties until the Democrats flipped Pennsylvania in 2022.
However, according to the Times, achieving such a tie would require Democrats to unseat an incumbent Republican. Polls indicate the easiest targets may be Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Florida Senator Rick Scott, though Cruz currently has a four-point lead and Scott has a nine-point lead.
One potential opportunity could arise in Nebraska, where the Democrats are not fielding a candidate but are supporting independent contender Dan Osborn. Current polling suggests Osborn is in close competition with Republican incumbent Deb Fischer.
In the House of Representatives, Republicans hold 220 seats, while Democrats have 212 and three seats remain vacant. Election day is set for November 5, with early mail-in voting already underway in several states.
Aarav Patel contributed to this report for TROIB News
According to a recent poll by the New York Times, Republicans are poised to potentially “flip” a US Senate seat in Montana, an outcome that could grant them control of the chamber if other races unfold as anticipated.
While much attention has been focused on the presidential contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the entire House of Representatives and 33 Senate seats are also up for re-election. Democrats currently hold 51 out of 100 Senate seats.
“The math for Senate control is pretty simple. For Democrats, it isn’t adding up,” reported the Times on Thursday. The poll, conducted in collaboration with Siena College, revealed that incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is trailing his Republican opponent, Tim Sheehy, by seven percentage points.
Tim Sheehy, a businessman and former Navy SEAL who has recently entered politics, is captured at 52% in the Times/Siena poll, while Tester sits at 44%. Additionally, Trump leads Harris by 17 points in Montana.
Until this week, polling data had shown Democrats with a comfortable lead in all contested Senate races.
Republicans are also expected to gain a seat in West Virginia following the departure of longtime Democrat Joe Manchin, who has announced he will not seek re-election. If other races follow the current polling trends, Republicans could secure 51 seats compared to the Democrats’ 49.
The “only hope” for Democrats would be to force a tie in the Senate, allowing Harris to cast the tie-breaking vote if she wins the presidency. This scenario was in play during the first two years of Joe Biden’s administration, when he had the opportunity to break ties until the Democrats flipped Pennsylvania in 2022.
However, according to the Times, achieving such a tie would require Democrats to unseat an incumbent Republican. Polls indicate the easiest targets may be Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Florida Senator Rick Scott, though Cruz currently has a four-point lead and Scott has a nine-point lead.
One potential opportunity could arise in Nebraska, where the Democrats are not fielding a candidate but are supporting independent contender Dan Osborn. Current polling suggests Osborn is in close competition with Republican incumbent Deb Fischer.
In the House of Representatives, Republicans hold 220 seats, while Democrats have 212 and three seats remain vacant. Election day is set for November 5, with early mail-in voting already underway in several states.
Aarav Patel contributed to this report for TROIB News
