India remains fastest-growing major economy

The country’s GDP saw 6.3% growth in the July-September quarter, official data shows

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) for the July-September quarter of the current financial year was up 6.3% year-on-year, according to provisional estimates released by its National Statistical Office (NSO) on Wednesday.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its report earlier this month projected a growth rate of between 6.1% and 6.3% for the same period.

The new data shows that, while GDP had expanded by 8.4% in the corresponding quarter during 2021-22, it had registered a growth of 13.5% in the preceding quarter, April-June of 2022-23.

At the same time, nominal GDP or GDP at current prices in Q2 of 2022-23 showed a growth of 16.2%, as compared to 19.0% in Q2 of 2021-22, the report said.

It also shows that the agriculture sector registered growth of 4.6% in the period July to September, up from the previous quarter and improving on the 3.2% recorded for the same period of last year. However, the manufacturing sector contracted 4.3%, reversing the 4.8% expansion in the first fiscal quarter and well off the 5.6% pace of growth in the corresponding quarter a year earlier. The employment-generating construction sector saw a 6.6% annual increase in activity.

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“Overall, if you can come somewhere close to between 6.5% and 7% [growth] in the current financial year, that is an extremely decent number, because maybe we are [one of a few] countries which are going to grow at a positive rate,” N R Bhanumurthy, vice chancellor of the Bengaluru-based Ambedkar School of Economics University, told Nikkei Asia.

“Given the current global headwinds, growing at [this rate], in my view, is a fantastic number,” he added.

Notably, India remained the fastest-growing major economy, as China registered economic growth of 3.9% in July-September 2022.

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